Statistical Intuition
From Sally Clark to the Spotify shuffle: how statistics gets misread everywhere, why arithmetic is just probability with the correction terms removed, and what psychology says about our intuition for chance.
Hey there! This is, maybe, my 2026 resolution: to write down interesting concepts I've picked up along the way. It's partly to organize my own thoughts, and partly in case it helps whoever's reading this. I make no promises, the goal is something new each month, but we'll see how it goes. Enjoy the ride!
Recent posts
Everything You Always Wanted to Know About CLT (But Were Afraid to Ask)
The Central Limit Theorem is the Swiss army knife of statistics. A visual intuition for why so many roads lead to the Normal, where the π comes from, and how far the hypotheses can be loosened.
Beyond Traditional A/B Testing: Long-Term Alternatives
How survival analysis and surrogate metrics address the limitations of A/B tests when long-term effects are what truly matter.